Ramesh S Arunachalam
Micro-finance investment vehicles (MIVs) have been a topic of recent discussion, courtesy the recent book by Hugh Sinclair[i]. Currently, as has been noted in previous articles[ii], given the state of the microfinance investment vehicles (MIV), it is highly unlikely that they undergo any meaningful regulation/supervision. However, as the recent debate has shown, there is indeed a critical need to regulate/supervise the MIVs. This is because, MIVs – apart from being investment companies and/or financial intermediaries – have very diverse operations in terms of innovative products, geographies and so on. And most importantly, they are able to provide crucial capital to MFIs, who then leverage the same (from commercial banks/others) - manifold – and enhance outreach of their services.
Readers may want to recall that much of the impetus for devastating growth of the MFI sector in Andhra Pradesh (AP), which then led to the 2010 crisis, came from: a) MIVs/other investors (irresponsibly?) pumped in huge amounts of money (in relatively shorter amounts of time) into MFIs after the 2005/2006 Krishna crisis; and b) And riding on the back of these investments, MFIs were able to leverage huge amounts of commercial bank lending and grow[iii] (using multiple lending, ghost lending and over lending) at phenomenal rates. This, in short, resulted in the 2010 Andhra Pradesh (AP) micro-finance crisis which is still unprecedented (as of today) in terms of its sheer enormity, scale, and impact.
Please see the kind of
investment that some Indian MFIs received during the years preceding the 2010 Andhra
Pradesh micro-finance crisis and the kind of growth they experienced. You will
understand what I am saying. And, several salient points deserve mention here:
a) “First, with no causality being implied, all I can say
is that the period of very rapid growth
in Indian micro-finance (April, 2008–March, 2010[iv]) is
associated with significant
equity investments into Indian micro-finance (US $ 486.58 million).
For example,
almost 75% of the total portfolio of the top 14 Indian MFIs (with 6 Andhra
Pradesh headquartered MFIs), as of end March, 2010, had been accumulated during
the period April, 2008–March, 2010. In numerical terms, this is approximately
US $ 2.791 billion, which is huge by any standards. During the same period, the
big 6 Andhra Pradesh headquartered MFIs also increased their gross loan
portfolio by almost US $ 2.077 billion .In other words, the 6 Andhra Pradesh
headquartered MFIs accounted for almost 74.41% of the total portfolio (US $
2.791 Billion) increase for the top 14 MFIs during April, 2008–March, 2010. 13
of the 14 MFIs were NBFCs.
b) Further, it is in the same period of April,
2008–March, 2010, that the top 14 Indian MFIS (with 6 Andhra Pradesh
headquartered MFIS) added nearly 14.27 million active borrowers. And
interestingly, the big 6 Andhra Pradesh headquartered MFIs accounted for almost
9.76 million of these active borrowers (about 68.34%).
c) Thus, irrespective of whether growth of active
borrowers or gross loan portfolio is considered as a measure, the period April,
2008 to March, 2010, is clearly “The Period” of burgeoning growth in
Indian micro-finance. What is noteworthy
here is that this period is also associated with significant equity investments
of US $ 486.58 million.
d) The period, April
2009 – July 2010, which is part of the fastest growth period (of April 2008 –
March 2010), shows the highest equity investment in a single year in
Indian micro-finance (approximately, US $ 387.30 Million).
Based
on the above, the assertion that equity investment perhaps induced faster
growth in Indian micro-finance would not (perhaps) be a misstatement. Equity
investment by MIVs/others is what turbo charged Indian micro-finance, after the
Krishna crisis of 2005/2006. This, in turn, seems to have led to more and more
investment into MFIs and caused further (very) rapid growth[v]
and thereby, attracted more equity investments at very high valuations. This is one possible explanation for the
association of rapid growth (of Indian MFIs during April, 2008–March, 2010) and
burgeoning equity investments (in Indian MFIs during the same period and
thereafter).”[vi]
Therefore, given the above, I
think that it is imperative that any kind of MIV (irrespective of its legal
form, geography of incorporation, countries of investment etc) should be
subject - under its extant laws - to some minimum regulation/supervision[vii] as
is required for any form of organization involved in making investments (often
collected from investors) and engaging in financial intermediation. Looking at
the assets that MIVs control (Table 1)
and keeping in mind the potential damage that they could cause by their irresponsible
investments (as was done in India), the case for minimum regulation/supervision
becomes very strong indeed.
Therefore, given the above
background, regulation/supervision of MIVs in (at least) these three countries (Luxembourg,
The Netherlands and US) becomes the imperative need of the day. Let us be
clear on that! However, it is certainly not an easy task because the issue of
regulation across diversely incorporated MIVs (see Table 1) operating in multiple countries would require complex
arrangements with a great deal of coordination between regulators across
countries. And while that certainly can be a long term goal, let us make a
start first and pluck a low hanging fruit here - the SUPERVISION of MIVs by
existing regulators/supervisors. Hence, what I am proposing is sort of an
immediate solution (or quick win). In other words, what I am saying - in effect
- is that let us FIRST make a beginning by creating a framework for enhancing supervision
of MIVs by existing regulator’s in these three countries! And regulators in
other countries could follow, as dictated by their strategic situation and
requirements.
While there are many facets that regulators would have to consider while looking at ways to
supervise MIVs, in my opinion, an important aspect to look at is the level of
analysis and the issues that are relevant at each of these various levels.
Typically, four levels of analysis are usually relevant with regard to MIVs:
Level
|
Relationship (s)
|
Level # 1
|
Investor – Fund
|
Level # 2
|
Fund – Fund Manager (or Fund – Sub-Advisor)
|
Level # 3
|
Fund/Fund Manager – MFI
|
Level # 4
|
MFI – Clients
|
While supervision of MIVs should concern levels 1, 2
and 3 primarily, levels 1 and 2 would be most important from a
regulatory/supervisory stand point in the home (parent) country. As levels 3
and 4 would require significant coordination with regulator/supervisors in the
host country so as to understand the nature of the investee and their
operations, these levels are dealt with, separately, in forthcoming articles.
And before we get into the levels of analysis issue,
one critical point must be made - for all practical purposes, irrespective of
wherever the fund or fund managers get investment from, regulating/supervising
them at the place of incorporation and/or place at which their establishment
exists would be most appropriate. Sometimes, even these could be in multiple
countries (as noted earlier) and that needs to be appropriately handled.
Having set the context here, a sequential article (PART
II) looks at the above levels of analysis and offers starter questions that
regulators/supervisors need to ask at each level with regard to MIVs and their
operations...
[i] Confessions
Of A Microfinance Heretic: How Microlending Lost Its Way And Betrayed the Poor
by Hugh Sinclair (http://www.microfinancetransparency.com/)
[ii] Why not regulate and supervise microfinance investment
vehicles in their country of incorporation?; Triple Jump’s Response to Hugh Sinclair’s Book: Does It
Raise More Questions than Provide Credible Answers?; Why blame the MFIs alone?; Should not microfinance investment vehicles be judged
by the same standards set for retail MFIs?; and Does Sinclair’s Open Challenge (to the Global
Micro-Finance Industry) Make His Claims True?
[iii] See Mix Market http://www.mixmarket.org/ - ‘MFIs, unlike before, were able to deploy
funds as micro-finance assets’. In my opinion they did so using multiple
lending, ghost lending and over lending and primarily consumption/loans.
[iv] Mix Market data and please see technical appendix 9 in the book - The Journey of Indian Micro-Finance: Lessons For The Future - for
the structure and calibration of the Mix Market database
[v] This issue is almost similar to the aspect of which
came first, the Chicken or the Egg?
[vi] Source: Quoted from The Journey Of Indian
Micro-Finance: Lessons For The Future by Ramesh S.Arunachalam and disclaimers
given the book apply with regard to the data!
[vii] Regulation is essentially about making rules and/or
principles and influencing behaviour and enforcement. Supervision concerns
continuous or specific verification of the application of these
principles/rules through various mechanisms.
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